The Evanescence of Elysium
The crypto crash was swift, violent and cruel. It melted positions and delisted tokens sometimes within the same day. It left you shell-shocked and confused, sometimes before your emotions could even respond.
Just imagine for a moment, the elation of seeing your fortune congregate for a day, only to have it vaporized the next. It’s a strange form of hell knowing your winning lottery ticket had slipped through your fingers. For a day or two, heaven was just a sell order away.
Relatable
Any crypto investor who got in before December 2017 can relate to this psychotic twist. Many couldn’t survive the mental anguish of “what could have been” and sold out during the coldest days. Who could blame them? Some saw drawdowns of 90% from their tops; and few less than 70%. This would make any sane or rational investor mark their loss and move on.
I’ve Met Some Who Survived
Through Twitter, connections, and contacts, I’ve had the unique opportunity to meet and talk with five investors who actually survived through this experience. I have their stories and I’m going to share them with you.
How did you first get into crypto?
Like many, I heard about Bitcoin in the early days but never gave it much thought. This all changed in early 2017 when some of my buddies began buying some as it crossed the 2013 high of $1,200. I completely wrote it off again and told them it’s a scam that’s not backed by anything.
A couple months later I realized very smart people at the software company I worked at were talking about it and decided that I needed to take a closer look. Eventually, I decided to take the plunge and invest a small amount in Bitcoin and Ethereum in May 2017. It was this skin in the game that changed everything for me.
The rest of 2017 was absolute insanity. I couldn’t get enough. I should also note that I couldn’t get enough of the altcoins and absolutely fell for their over the top marketing. But I was making money so they must be brilliant teams and projects right? Hell, I was even calling Bitcoin Grandpa and the Myspace of crypto!
At this time I actually believed platform chains like Ethereum were of much greater value than Bitcoin. I was in the camp that believed decentralizing everything was more important than fixing the money. I was still buying Bitcoin but I couldn’t totally understand why a coin that people just held could be more valuable than a coin used to power a DeFi network.
Tell me about getting through the crypto crash:
Then the bear came. It’s during a crypto winter that you really learn a lot about yourself as an investor, but it’s also when you realize what truly gives Bitcoin its value. I watched all my altcoins trend towards zero against Bitcoin and the dev teams basically dry up. I also watched the Bitcoin community never waiver. There was never pessimism. They just kept building. Some of them even seemed to enjoy the bear market more!
It was during this crypto crash and winter when I really started learning about money and what it is. This of course led me down Austrian economic rabbit holes and eventually to “The Bitcoin Standard” by Saifedean Ammous (a must read). It was then that I truly realized that fixing the money is more important than decentralizing ride-sharing apps. Once the money was fixed, all the other “problems” would fall into place. Fix the money, fix the world.
So which blockchain had the soundest monetary principles? Bitcoin. And it’s not even close. It’s the hardest, most secure, and most decentralized. Its community refuses to compromise on decentralization and security for things like transaction speeds. The base layer of Bitcoin isn’t meant to be sexy, it’s meant to be bulletproof and incorruptible. Once the lightbulbs started going off it was clear to me that it’s Bitcoin that’s revolutionary, not blockchain.
What got me through the bear market was that my learning never stopped. It was during this time that I really focused on the developments in the space and learning about what money is and why it’s important to separate it from the state. Even as the price continued to plummet, I was getting all the more bullish as I continued learning. I also learned about past cycles and the 4-year halvings. I read the writings of vets who had been around since 2013 and it all started to become clear that this thing would be back and stronger than ever.
Tell me about the altcoins of 2017 vs. 2021:
Were the altcoins of 2017 similar to those today? Yes! Almost exactly the same! The only difference is that we have a new crop. Ever hear of NEO, IOTA, REQ, or OMG? Probably not. Well, they were the hot stuff of 2017! And guess what? 2013 had its own crop of coins that blew up and died during the winter. There’s a big, big reason why so many of us who have been through a previous cycle are so adamant against altcoins. It’s because we’ve been burned by them and learned from those who came before us, who were also burnt, to stay away. It’s a very common tale.
I reiterate, once you realize the money is the main thing that needs to be fixed, you really can’t unsee it. Then once you realize that all of this can be built on additional layers above Bitcoin. You begin to realize that even if some of the altcoins aren’t outright scams, they are at best, a testnet for Bitcoin. Bitcoin can and will absorb every sexy feature that the market likes from these other coins. But first, we need to fix the money.
If you will, emphasize the money problem for a moment:
In my opinion, Bitcoin’s hard cap of 21 million is the only credible fixed number in the space. It’s the only leaderless chain with no foundation or for-profit company behind it’s launch. It is the only truly decentralized cryptocurrency, which makes it far and away the most resistant to change. Bitcoin is the most credibly scarce, secure, decentralized, and immutable money on earth. It’s the best money the world has ever seen.
Now think about DeFi. Would you prefer to use DeFi on a chain with a base layer whose monetary properties can be changed almost at will by its developers and foundations? Or would you prefer to use it on a chain with a base layer that’s 100% immutable? This is why I believe Ethereum has it exactly backwards. The baselayer has one and only one job, to be secure, immutable, and decentralized. All of the decentralized finance features can be built on various layers above the baselayer once it is built and cemented. Fixing the money must come first.
I have no problem with Ethereum and its community. I think most have good intentions! But visiting their subreddits and reading the tweets it clear to me they don’t see the problem the same way that Bitcoiners do. ETH people seem more motivated to disrupt retail banking whereas Bitcoiners’ bigger focus is on disrupting the central banks.I believe the latter is far more important than the former. When all is said and done, Bitcoin will disrupt them both.
Tell me how you first got into crypto:
I started to dive into crypto around late 2016 in college when a friend showed me Ethereum. I had heard of Bitcoin before, but didn’t pay much attention to it. The smart contracts innovation was what really convinced me that this was the next big thing. It was around this time when trustless gambling Dapps were starting to come out. So of course I needed to buy Ether in order to use and learn solidity. I started going down into the weeds of crypto, reading as many white papers as I could, bought a few hardware wallets and left the private keys in a safety deposit box.
Tell me about the bull run and euphoric ride to the top:
A lot of ETH based token ICOs were coming out or getting big around this time. Some of the other tokens I looked into and bought were OmiseGo, Etheroll, Melon, IOTA, Salt. Etheroll specifically was the one I was most excited about since it paid a quarterly ETH dividend and bought in at its ICO. ETH was starting to climb up in dollar value. So I didn’t really feel any risk gambling into each of these other projects.
During the spring of 2017, Ether would generally go upwards until hitting an all time high of 400. At this point I had deviated away from learning about the tech side and focused more on how my portfolio was doing. I used the Etheroll dividends to go out to eat and drink often. I remember Mike Novogratz saying ‘The herd is coming’. Consensys was aggressively adding to its headcount. New crypto millionaires were starting their own crypto hedge funds. That time period couldn’t have gone better. Euphoria is almost an understatement.
During this run-up in late 2017, friends and family started messaging me out of the blue. This validated my belief in crypto as an investment.
I’ll add that I was lucky enough to sell enough to cover my initial investment, but I still kept a large portion invested. I still wanted my lottery ticket.
What was it like as things tipped towards a bear market and eventual crypto crash?
My first crypto bear market hit as the price of Ether slumped back to the 100s. A lot of FUD was spreading around and this is also when I noticed the other projects weren’t going anywhere or were simply scams. I quickly re-allocated towards Ethereum and layer 2 solutions only. Up until this point, I never thought about selling.
I developed some unhealthy habits. Constantly checking my blockfolio (every couple minutes) and even waking up in the middle of night to check. This would go on for a while before I uninstalled all crypto-related apps. At the time I believed I was going to hold for the long term and that I was lucky enough to have gotten in early and still very much ahead. The recurring theme of the subreddits and other forums were hodling and ‘diamond hands’. So I decided it was best to just forget and come back at some point.
How difficult was the winter?
In 2018, I still had a tendency to keep going back to check the prices (but not my portfolio). Crypto news was extremely quiet, a lot of development was delayed (specifically Constantinople) and ICOs weren’t really going on anymore. The bear market and negative news seemed to go on forever. I was financially stable but it was soul crushing knowing that I never cashed in my lottery ticket. I remember sitting in the parking lot at work for an hour trying to decide if I should just hit the sell button. This happened multiple times throughout the year. To get rid of the negative thoughts and take my mind off crypto, I sold off the remaining coins/tokens in my Coinbase account. Ether had dropped to under $100 by that point. Fortunately I forgot my pin to my hardware wallet and the private key was locked away in another state.
To elaborate further, I was going through doubts of whether I truly understood anything in crypto. Coming from a technical background, it was very possible that I had a “Yes man” mindset, that a lot of people seem to have, and was picking biased reasons or opinions on why Crypto is the next big thing rather than facts.
On the other hand, none of the key use cases were adopting blockchain or crypto at the time. No institutional money was coming through either. And I was low key embarrassed for even still owning any. But really I was focused on the wrong metric. Utility was still going up, and more competent developers were working on things. In hindsight, price should never be the primary and only metric.
Do you still have your Ethereum position to this day?
I continue to hold, especially knowing a handful of people were leaving my company for crypto exchanges or blockchain companies during the crypto winter. This included a few close friends as well. I’ve never been the smartest person in the room but consider myself a gatekeeper, making it easy for me to recognize talent. If these awesome, smart people still saw an opportunity in this space, probably a good idea to keep an open mind.
My takeaway is to move assets to a cold wallet and don’t bother moving them to avoid rash decisions. I rarely ever touch it because it’s a pain to use!
My opportunity was seized after the crypto crash
Conviction Leads to Opportunity
So much to unpack and learn from in this brief video segment!
What I learn is the ability to hold and survive a crash has a lot to do with our understanding of the investment and our conviction that things will turn around. With this conviction, we gain the insight to know if we should buy more, and to look for asymmetric opportunities or ways in which to leverage our knowledge. His move into mining Pirate Chain (ARRR) was pure genius.
Part Two – Tyler & Brian
Part two of this article will include stories from Tyler and Brian. I considered shortening and editing down the stories so I could include everything into one article, but I didn’t want to miss any details. So for this reason, I’ll be publishing a second part to include the stories from Tyler and Brian which I’ll put out on Wednesday July 21, 2021.
This will also give me some space in the next article to include some final thoughts and summarize the methods we could use to take advantage of future volatility in the crypto markets.
I’ll leave you with their profiles, tag lines, and Twitter profiles and talk to you in a couple days with their stories.
Bonus: Why the Subtitle ‘The Evanescence of Elysium’?
Few things in this life will deliver the euphoric state of mind like quick and sudden money. During the bull run of 2017, most crypto investors felt this euphoria in its purest form as some easily eclipsed lottery style money.
Elysium originates from Greek mythology and refers to a paradise and state of never ending happiness to which their mortal heroes would be sent to in the afterlife. While evanescence refers to a physical object or state suddenly evaporating and fleeting into nothingness.
While I wasn’t a part of the 2017-2019 bull run and crypto crash, I can imagine the hellish state of mind of seeing paradise slip from your fingers and vanish into nothing; hence the evanescence of Elysium.
Image Caption: The Elysian Fields
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4 comments
Fantastic read. Thank you for the great interviews and for those who shared their thoughts.
I keep building and adding to my portfolio and taking advantage of the current bearish market too.
Thanks Vibrant, really glad you enjoyed it.
I would tell you how I got into cryptocurrency. But nobody would believe me because it would go beyond people’s imagination. Still, I give you a thumbs up.
The crisis came immediately after I started investing in cryptocurrencies. I stayed calm and did not take any further action.
Thanks Lokutus. Staying calm in a crash like that took real fortitude and conviction.
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